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  Yen falls for the second day; Pound on a high

>> Tuesday, January 27, 2009


The yen weakened for a second day against the dollar and the euro as gains in stocks reduced demand for the currency as a haven from the financial crisis. Japan’s currency also fell against the Australian dollar and the Brazilian real as measures of bond risk declined after Barclays Plc said it doesn’t need to raise further capital because revenue increased last year. The British pound and the euro strengthened as speculation eased that losses will widen at European banks.
“We’re seeing an improvement in sentiment because it appears Barclays has avoided a crisis,” said Akio Shimizu, chief manager of foreign-exchange trading in Tokyo at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking Corp., a unit of Japan’s largest publicly listed lender. “People will trim their bets on declines in the euro and the pound. There’s a bias for the yen to weaken.” The yen declined to 89.50 against the dollar as of 1:29 p.m. in Tokyo from 89.10 late yesterday in New York. Japan’s currency fell to 118.46 per euro from 117.51. The euro climbed to $1.3236 from $1.3189.
Sterling on the other hand touched a one-week high of $1.4080 after Barclays said yesterday it retains more than 17 billion pounds ($23.9 billion) even after it wrote down another 8 billion pounds of bad loans. The currency rose to $1.4059 from $1.3993.

Britain’s currency plunged to $1.3503 on Jan. 23, the lowest level ever since September 1985, after the government announced a second bank bailout in three months and a further injection of funds into Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc.

Recommendations:
UBS recommends selling the euro with a target of $1.25 and an automatic buy order at $1.3450 to limit losses, according to the report. The dollar gained 5.6 percent against the euro and 3.9 percent against the pound this month, extending rallies of 4.4 percent and 36 percent last year, respectively, as investors fled higher-yielding assets and sought protection in the world’s reserve currency.

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